Territorial Conquest and the Fait Accompli

"By Fait Accompli, Not Coercion: How States Wrest Territory from Their Adversaries" 
Forthcoming in International Studies Quarterly
          List of Land Grabs 

"The Evolution of Territorial Conquest" (coming soon)
         Precursor: "Land Grabs: Causes, Consequences, and the Evolution of Territorial Conquest" (PDF available on request)

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Red Lines, Deterrence, and Crises​

​Red Lines in International Politics (book manuscript - in development)

"Advancing without Attacking: The Strategic Game around the Use of Force" 
Forthcoming in Security Studies 

"Red Lines in Nuclear Nonproliferation" (with Nicholas Miller)
Forthcoming in The Nonproliferation Review

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The Causes of War

"The Strategist's Curse: A Theory of False Optimism as a Cause of War," Security Studies, Vol. 24, No. 2 (2015).
          Replication Files (Simulations)

"Why Not Fight and Trade?  Dissecting the Logic of the Opportunity Cost Mechanism"

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Just for Fun
NOTE: Materials in this section are meant to be humorous. Please do not take them literally.

"Parenting and Deterrent Red Lines: The Strategic Game of Dessert"

"Deterrence Never Works, QED"